2020-03-03 · 19:45
13.0630.3%
X3.2128.9%
22.2740.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
WLLWLDWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Dundee United
LLWWWWWWDL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.60
Against
5.20
11.40
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.30goals per match
Dundee United conceded0.90
Matchup

Dundee United attack

1.30goals per match
Ayr conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.20
11.40
Match total
11.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.70
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
22.90
Match total
19.20

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.50
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.3%27.1%-3.1 pp
Draw28.9%25.7%-3.2 pp
Away40.8%47.1%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.011.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.3%
1-112.9%
0-211.4%
2-18.6%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.595.31
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away62.5%