2020-02-29 · 15:00
13.3927.3%
X3.3927.3%
22.0445.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alloa
LWDLWLLDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Ayr
WWWLWLLLWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.80
1.50
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.80
0.90
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
7.60
Against
4.00
12.40
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alloa attack

0.90goals per match
Ayr conceded1.80
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.80goals per match
Alloa conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
7.60
Corners against
4.00
12.40
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
1.90
Match total
2.70
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
17.10
Match total
18.80

Shots

7.00N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.00
On target
5.00
13%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%31.4%+4.1 pp
Draw27.3%25.7%-1.6 pp
Away45.4%42.9%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.141.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.4%
1-211.4%
1-111.4%
0-18.6%
0-38.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.295.89
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away66.7%