2020-02-25 · 19:45
11.7852.0%
X3.5925.8%
24.1822.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
WWLLWLDWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Morton
LLLLLLLWWD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.80
Against
5.00
11.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
2.30
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.30goals per match
Morton conceded2.20
Matchup

Morton attack

0.80goals per match
Ayr conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.00
11.50
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.70
Match total
2.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
23.50
Match total
17.00

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
5.50
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.0%52.3%+0.2 pp
Draw25.8%25.0%-0.8 pp
Away22.2%22.7%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS38.6%

Historical average

1.520.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.9%
1-111.4%
2-011.4%
0-19.1%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.644.41
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals14.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away28.6%