2020-02-22 · 15:00
11.8549.9%
X3.6025.7%
23.7824.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morton
WDWLWLLWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Alloa
LDDLDLLWWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
100%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.90
1.50
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.90
Against
9.20
12.40
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
100%10/10
Matchup

Morton attack

1.50goals per match
Alloa conceded1.60
Matchup

Alloa attack

1.50goals per match
Morton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
9.20
12.40
Match total
12.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.00
Match total
2.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
20.00
Match total
18.70

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
6.70N=10
3.50
On target
3.90
15%
Conversion
22%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%51.7%+1.8 pp
Draw25.7%22.4%-3.2 pp
Away24.4%25.9%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.691.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.8%
2-210.3%
1-110.3%
0-110.3%
2-010.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.884.29
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.4%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away58.3%