2020-01-21 · 19:45
13.0430.4%
X3.4327.0%
22.1742.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alloa
DLLWDLWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Arbroath
LWLLWLLDLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
7.80
Against
5.00
12.00
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Alloa attack

0.80goals per match
Arbroath conceded1.30
Matchup

Arbroath attack

0.80goals per match
Alloa conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
7.80
Corners against
5.00
12.00
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.10
Match total
3.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
17.90
Match total
21.20

Shots

6.80N=10
Shots
6.70N=10
2.70
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.4%26.3%-4.1 pp
Draw27.0%31.6%+4.6 pp
Away42.6%42.1%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

1.111.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
2-110.5%
2-210.5%
0-210.5%
1-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.585.47
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.534.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away71.4%