Scottish Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-21 · 19:45
13.0430.4%
X3.4327.0%
22.1742.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Alloa
DLLWDLWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Arbroath
LWLLWLLDLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
7.80
Against
5.00
12.00
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Alloa attack
0.80goals per matchArbroath conceded1.30Matchup
Arbroath attack
0.80goals per matchAlloa conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
7.80
Corners against
5.00
12.00
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.10
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
17.90
Match total
21.20
Shots
6.80N=10
Shots
6.70N=10
2.70
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.4%26.3%-4.1 pp
Draw27.0%31.6%+4.6 pp
Away42.6%42.1%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS60.5%
Historical average
1.11–1.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.2%
2-110.5%
2-210.5%
0-210.5%
1-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.58–5.47
Average total10.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.534.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.7%
Away71.4%