Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 16:30
16.7414.2%
X5.2018.4%
21.4267.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LLLWLDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Liverpool
LLWDLLDWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.00
Against
4.40
8.20
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.60goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.30
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.40goals per match
Southampton conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.40
8.20
Match total
8.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.70
Match total
19.50

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
2.80
On target
4.40
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.2%18.8%+4.6 pp
Draw18.4%25.0%+6.6 pp
Away67.4%56.3%-11.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS81.3%

Historical average

1.312.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
1-318.8%
0-36.3%
0-26.3%
2-56.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.198.31
Average total11.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.587.5%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.562.5%
Over 11.556.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away75.0%