Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 16:30
16.7414.2%
X5.2018.4%
21.4267.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Southampton
LLLWLDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Liverpool
LLWDLLDWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.00
Against
4.40
8.20
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Southampton attack
0.60goals per matchLiverpool conceded1.30Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.40goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.40
8.20
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.70
Match total
19.50
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
2.80
On target
4.40
6%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.2%18.8%+4.6 pp
Draw18.4%25.0%+6.6 pp
Away67.4%56.3%-11.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS81.3%
Historical average
1.31–2.38
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-125.0%
1-318.8%
0-36.3%
0-26.3%
2-56.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.19–8.31
Average total11.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.587.5%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.562.5%
Over 11.556.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Remaining goals
2.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals41.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.7%
Away75.0%