Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 16:30
11.5362.5%
X4.5920.8%
25.7616.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man United
WWDWDWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Fulham
WLDWLLWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.80
Against
5.80
11.00
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man United attack
1.90goals per matchFulham conceded0.90Matchup
Fulham attack
1.00goals per matchMan United conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.80
11.00
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.80
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
19.40
Match total
24.10
Shots
18.80N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
6.60
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.5%57.7%-4.8 pp
Draw20.8%18.3%-2.5 pp
Away16.6%23.9%+7.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.543.7%
BTTS63.4%
Historical average
2.24–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-19.9%
2-19.9%
0-18.5%
2-08.5%
1-27.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.39–3.82
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.546.5%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away53.3%