Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 16:30
12.7734.6%
X3.8425.0%
22.3740.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
DDLWDWLLDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Tottenham
WLWLLDDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.70
2.10
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
1.90
2H goals
2.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.80
Against
6.10
9.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
2.10
Goals conceded
2.50
3.30
Total goals
4.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
Tottenham conceded2.50
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.70goals per match
Leeds conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.10
9.00
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.90
Match total
22.10

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.80
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%31.8%-2.8 pp
Draw25.0%36.4%+11.4 pp
Away40.4%31.8%-8.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS59.1%

Historical average

1.361.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.7%
2-19.1%
3-09.1%
0-09.1%
0-24.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.824.82
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Away FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away61.1%