Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 16:30
11.4964.5%
X4.6120.9%
26.5814.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LLWWLWDLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Bournemouth
LLLWLLWWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.50
Against
8.70
10.70
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Everton attack

0.80goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.60
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

0.80goals per match
Everton conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
8.70
10.70
Match total
12.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.50
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
19.60
Match total
18.90

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.00
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches114
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.5%77.2%+12.7 pp
Draw20.9%14.9%-5.9 pp
Away14.6%7.9%-6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

2.140.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.8%
1-015.8%
2-011.4%
3-110.5%
3-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.803.32
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=114.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%50.3%–79.8% CI
Draw FT22.2%11.7%–38.1% CI
Away FT11.1%4.4%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.1%
2+ goals47.2%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away36.1%