Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 16:30
11.6956.8%
X4.1523.1%
24.7720.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
LDDDDLWDWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Nott'm Forest
WDLLLLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
2.10
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
10.70
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.00goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded2.10Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
0.90goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
10.70
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
22.90
Match total
22.30
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.30
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches174
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%60.9%+4.2 pp
Draw23.1%21.8%-1.3 pp
Away20.1%17.2%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.540.8%
BTTS64.4%
Historical average
2.03–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.5%
2-29.8%
2-09.8%
3-18.6%
1-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.75–3.91
Average total9.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=174.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.523.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.4%32.0%–65.2% CI
Draw FT32.3%18.6%–49.9% CI
Away FT19.4%9.2%–36.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.9%
2+ goals67.7%
3+ goals35.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home74.2%
Away45.2%