Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 16:30
12.8733.4%
X3.6426.3%
22.3840.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WDLWDLDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Newcastle
DDDLWWWLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
7.00N=10
4.20
Against
4.80
10.50
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
1.80
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

0.70goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.20
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.60goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.80
10.50
Match total
11.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.90
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
25.30
Match total
23.10

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.60
On target
4.80
5%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches145
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.4%29.0%-4.4 pp
Draw26.3%33.8%+7.5 pp
Away40.3%37.2%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS63.4%

Historical average

1.321.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
2-210.3%
2-19.0%
1-28.3%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.974.67
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=144.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%8.6%–34.4% CI
Draw FT48.5%32.5%–64.8% CI
Away FT33.3%19.8%–50.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals6.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away51.5%