Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 16:30
13.8824.7%
X4.0123.9%
21.8751.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WWWDWDLDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Man City
LLWDWWWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.00
0.90
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.30
Against
2.70
9.50
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.90goals per match
Man City conceded0.90
Matchup

Man City attack

2.00goals per match
Brentford conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
2.70
9.50
Match total
8.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.80
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
18.80
Match total
21.80

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.70
On target
5.20
15%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.7%29.5%+4.7 pp
Draw23.9%24.2%+0.3 pp
Away51.3%46.3%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS58.9%

Historical average

1.231.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.7%
1-112.6%
1-08.4%
2-17.4%
0-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.035.43
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%17.3%–49.2% CI
Draw FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI
Away FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.8%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.2%
Away51.7%