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Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 16:30

Aston Villa

vs

Brighton

12.0446.9%
X3.8824.7%
23.3728.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
DWLLWWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Brighton
WDDDWLWLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.60
Against
3.80
11.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.90goals per match
Brighton conceded1.60
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.90goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.80
11.10
Match total
8.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.30
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
22.60
Match total
22.40

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
4.40
On target
5.60
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%48.8%+1.9 pp
Draw24.7%27.9%+3.2 pp
Away28.4%23.3%-5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.65–1.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.3%
2-011.6%
1-011.6%
2-29.3%
1-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.67–4.26
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away38.5%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamAston VillaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamBrightonForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareAston Villa vs BrightonCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPremier LeagueLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPremier League team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.