Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 16:30
11.3769.9%
X5.3318.0%
27.8712.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WDLWWWWDWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Wolves
DLWDLLDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
2.10
90%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
2.70
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.60
Against
5.40
9.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
2.10
4.30
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.60goals per match
Wolves conceded2.10
Matchup

Wolves attack

0.70goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.40
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.40
9.60
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.80
Match total
4.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
20.80
Match total
24.40

Shots

18.70N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.60
On target
1.90
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.9%67.4%-2.5 pp
Draw18.0%20.7%+2.7 pp
Away12.2%12.0%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

2.340.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.1%
2-012.0%
3-08.7%
2-27.6%
1-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.833.34
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.537.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.3%40.7%–75.5% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Away FT7.4%2.1%–23.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals29.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.1%
Away40.7%