Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-25 · 20:00
11.6359.1%
X4.3522.1%
25.1218.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WWWDWDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Chelsea
DLDDLWLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
0.40
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.90
Against
4.90
11.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
0.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.80goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.30
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.00goals per match
Man United conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.90
11.40
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.90
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
19.60
Match total
22.90

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
6.30
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches132
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.1%59.8%+0.8 pp
Draw22.1%18.2%-4.0 pp
Away18.8%22.0%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.540.2%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

2.091.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.4%
1-110.6%
1-09.8%
2-07.6%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.453.72
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=132.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.6%35.8%–70.5% CI
Draw FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI
Away FT7.1%2.0%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away32.1%