Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-24 · 20:00
13.9724.2%
X4.2222.8%
21.8153.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
WWLWWDWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Man City
WLLWDWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
2.80
Against
2.50
10.30
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
3.30
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

2.30goals per match
Man City conceded0.80
Matchup

Man City attack

2.00goals per match
Brighton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
2.80
Corners against
2.50
10.30
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.50
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
23.30
Match total
20.90

Shots

21.40N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
7.80
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.2%16.7%-7.5 pp
Draw22.8%20.0%-2.8 pp
Away53.1%63.3%+10.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS63.3%

Historical average

1.232.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-216.7%
0-213.3%
0-110.0%
1-210.0%
1-36.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.475.67
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away71.4%