Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-22 · 20:00
11.3869.6%
X5.3917.8%
27.6612.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
DWDLWWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Leicester
LLWLLDLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
5.60
11.50
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.90goals per matchLeicester conceded2.20Matchup
Leicester attack
1.20goals per matchNewcastle conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.60
11.50
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.70
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
22.60
Match total
22.90
Shots
18.00N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.70
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.6%74.3%+4.7 pp
Draw17.8%16.5%-1.3 pp
Away12.5%9.2%-3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.539.4%
BTTS57.8%
Historical average
2.48–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.7%
3-013.8%
2-012.8%
2-26.4%
1-16.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.86–3.50
Average total10.37
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.537.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%40.7%–76.6% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT8.0%2.2%–25.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.04
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals32.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away44.0%