Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-22 · 20:00
11.3869.6%
X5.3917.8%
27.6612.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DWDLWWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Leicester
LLWLLDLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
5.60
11.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.90goals per match
Leicester conceded2.20
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.20goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.60
11.50
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.70
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
22.60
Match total
22.90

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.70
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.6%74.3%+4.7 pp
Draw17.8%16.5%-1.3 pp
Away12.5%9.2%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.539.4%
BTTS57.8%

Historical average

2.480.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.7%
3-013.8%
2-012.8%
2-26.4%
1-16.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.863.50
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.537.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%40.7%–76.6% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT8.0%2.2%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals32.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away44.0%