Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 16:00
11.2676.6%
X6.4115.0%
211.488.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
DWWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Chelsea
LDLDDLWLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.90
Against
4.90
9.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.70
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.90goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.30
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.00goals per match
Man City conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.90
9.50
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.70
Match total
23.30

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
6.20
On target
3.80
19%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.6%80.6%+4.0 pp
Draw15.0%14.6%-0.5 pp
Away8.4%4.9%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.5%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

2.660.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.6%
2-012.6%
4-011.7%
3-18.7%
3-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.51
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.7%
Away20.0%