Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 14:00
11.2378.3%
X6.9113.9%
212.437.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
LWWLWWDWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Southampton
LWLWLDLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.90
Against
6.30
10.70
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

2.20goals per match
Southampton conceded1.80
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.10goals per match
Brighton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.30
10.70
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.40
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.40
Match total
24.30

Shots

19.70N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
7.50
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.3%80.7%+2.4 pp
Draw13.9%10.5%-3.4 pp
Away7.7%8.8%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

2.630.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.0%
3-012.3%
1-012.3%
2-010.5%
1-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.822.96
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.6%46.9%–86.7% CI
Draw FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals35.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home94.1%
Away35.3%