Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 17:30
15.3717.9%
X4.4521.6%
21.5960.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
DWWDDLDLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Arsenal
WWLWWWDDLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.10
1.30
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.90
1.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.90
Against
4.60
8.10
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.60goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.30
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.10goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.60
8.10
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
23.60
Match total
22.40

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
3.60
On target
4.70
17%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.9%19.5%+1.6 pp
Draw21.6%19.5%-2.1 pp
Away60.5%61.0%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.9%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

0.981.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.2%
0-212.2%
1-18.5%
1-28.5%
2-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.776.12
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.0%
Away60.0%