Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 15:00
11.4964.6%
X4.8619.8%
26.1615.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WDWWWDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Aston Villa
WWLWDWWDLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.50
Against
6.40
8.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
0.80
3.20
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.40goals per match
Aston Villa conceded0.80
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.20goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.40
8.90
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.90
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
23.40
Match total
24.40

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.20
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.6%65.0%+0.5 pp
Draw19.8%23.3%+3.5 pp
Away15.6%11.7%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.543.7%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.370.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.7%
1-19.7%
0-08.7%
3-18.7%
3-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.453.20
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT59.1%38.7%–76.7% CI
Away FT9.1%2.5%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal59.1%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away40.9%