Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 15:00
16.0615.9%
X4.7720.2%
21.5163.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
LDDLWWLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Man United
WDLWLLWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.90
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.90
Against
6.30
10.20
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.10goals per match
Man United conceded1.70
Matchup

Man United attack

1.00goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.30
10.20
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.50
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
20.30
Match total
19.80

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.10
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.9%10.0%-5.9 pp
Draw20.2%10.0%-10.2 pp
Away63.9%80.0%+16.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.542.5%
BTTS45.0%

Historical average

0.722.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.5%
0-112.5%
0-212.5%
0-410.0%
1-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.356.33
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away63.6%