Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 12:30
11.8552.0%
X3.8824.8%
24.1323.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tottenham
LLWWWWWLDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Brentford
WDDLWDLLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
10%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.30
Against
6.80
10.10
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.50goals per matchBrentford conceded0.90Matchup
Brentford attack
1.00goals per matchTottenham conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.80
10.10
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.80
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
25.20
Match total
22.10
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.90
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.0%60.0%+8.0 pp
Draw24.8%22.1%-2.6 pp
Away23.3%17.9%-5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS55.7%
Historical average
1.91–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
1-011.4%
2-011.4%
2-19.3%
3-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.84–3.84
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=140.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.533.6%
Over 11.525.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%39.3%–71.8% CI
Draw FT21.9%11.0%–38.8% CI
Away FT21.9%11.0%–38.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.03
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals65.6%
3+ goals31.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.1%
Away59.4%