Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-18 · 19:30
12.0247.6%
X3.8624.9%
23.4927.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WDWDLWWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Brighton
WWDDDWLWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.10
0.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.60
Against
3.60
11.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.60goals per match
Brighton conceded1.30
Matchup

Brighton attack

2.10goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.60
11.60
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.60
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.80
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
15.80N=10
5.10
On target
5.80
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches114
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.6%44.7%-2.8 pp
Draw24.9%26.3%+1.4 pp
Away27.5%28.9%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.521.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.8%
1-114.9%
1-27.9%
2-07.9%
0-05.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.784.34
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=114.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.7%38.7%–67.9% CI
Draw FT26.8%15.7%–41.9% CI
Away FT19.5%10.2%–34.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.4%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.7%
Away36.6%