Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-15 · 20:00
15.1118.8%
X4.5920.9%
21.5960.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
LLDWLLLLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Liverpool
LLLWDLLDWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.20
Against
4.40
9.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.20goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.60
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.20goals per match
Leicester conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.20
Corners against
4.40
9.40
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.50
Match total
18.00

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.60
On target
4.50
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.8%16.7%-2.1 pp
Draw20.9%30.0%+9.1 pp
Away60.3%53.3%-7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

0.801.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-016.7%
0-113.3%
2-110.0%
0-210.0%
0-310.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.605.70
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.526.7%
Over 11.516.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal58.3%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away50.0%