Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 16:30
11.7754.3%
X4.1922.9%
24.2122.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
DWDLWWWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Brighton
WWWDDDWLWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
2.10
1.40
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.80
2.40
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
5.90N=10
2.90
Against
3.50
9.90
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
4.00
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.60goals per match
Brighton conceded1.50
Matchup

Brighton attack

2.10goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.50
9.90
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.30
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
20.40
Match total
20.60

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
16.50N=10
5.80
On target
6.00
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%60.0%+5.7 pp
Draw22.9%21.3%-1.7 pp
Away22.8%18.8%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.541.3%
BTTS65.0%

Historical average

2.091.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.5%
1-112.5%
2-011.3%
1-07.5%
3-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.38
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away56.3%