Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 14:00
18.8610.9%
X5.2118.5%
21.3670.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LLLWWLWDLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Man City
WWLLWDWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.00
1.80
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.10
Against
2.00
9.70
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.70
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Everton attack

0.90goals per match
Man City conceded0.90
Matchup

Man City attack

2.00goals per match
Everton conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
2.00
9.70
Match total
7.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
21.10
Match total
21.80

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
5.30
On target
5.60
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.9%9.6%-1.2 pp
Draw18.5%13.5%-5.0 pp
Away70.7%76.9%+6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

0.712.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.4%
1-215.4%
0-311.5%
0-49.6%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.406.63
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.9%
Away72.2%