Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 15:00
12.8234.0%
X3.4427.9%
22.5138.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LLLLWLDLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Fulham
WWLDWLLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.90
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.40
Against
5.80
7.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.70goals per match
Fulham conceded0.90
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.10goals per match
Southampton conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.80
7.90
Match total
9.90
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.40
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
22.70
Match total
23.90

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.10
On target
3.60
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches339
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.0%33.3%-0.6 pp
Draw27.9%29.2%+1.4 pp
Away38.2%37.5%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.291.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
0-111.2%
0-08.8%
1-08.6%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.095.29
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=339.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.8%17.6%–33.6% CI
Draw FT37.6%29.1%–47.0% CI
Away FT37.6%29.1%–47.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.3%
Away53.2%