Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 15:00
11.8851.1%
X3.7026.0%
24.1823.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
LLDDDDLWDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Bournemouth
LLLLWLLWWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.20
Against
8.20
10.30
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
0.80goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.60Matchup
Bournemouth attack
0.80goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
8.20
10.30
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
23.90
Match total
19.00
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
2.80
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches345
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.1%47.8%-3.2 pp
Draw26.0%29.3%+3.3 pp
Away23.0%22.9%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS52.5%
Historical average
1.57–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-010.7%
2-19.6%
0-08.7%
2-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.68–4.52
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=345.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.3%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.533.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches108
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.2%26.8%–44.6% CI
Draw FT41.7%32.8%–51.1% CI
Away FT23.1%16.2%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals9.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away40.7%