Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 15:00
11.5163.7%
X4.4021.9%
26.6814.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LWDLWDLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LWDLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
2.20
20%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.90
Against
6.50
10.30
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
1.50
Total goals
2.90
40%4/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

0.50goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded2.20
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

0.70goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.50
10.30
Match total
11.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.70
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
24.30
Match total
21.20

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.20
On target
2.90
3%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches174
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.7%70.7%+7.0 pp
Draw21.9%15.5%-6.4 pp
Away14.4%13.8%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS40.8%

Historical average

1.930.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.4%
2-013.2%
1-18.0%
2-18.0%
3-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.323.52
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=174.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.8%43.3%–71.0% CI
Draw FT26.7%16.0%–41.0% CI
Away FT15.6%7.7%–28.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals22.2%
3+ goals8.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.4%
Away26.7%