Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 15:00
12.3041.7%
X3.6026.6%
23.0331.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aston Villa
LDWLLWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Tottenham
DWLWLLDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
2.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.90
Against
5.90
10.60
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.50
3.10
Total goals
4.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aston Villa attack
1.80goals per matchTottenham conceded2.50Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.80goals per matchAston Villa conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.90
10.60
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.20
Match total
21.90
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.60
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches342
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%40.4%-1.4 pp
Draw26.6%28.4%+1.7 pp
Away31.7%31.3%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS56.1%
Historical average
1.49–1.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.1%
1-08.5%
1-28.2%
2-28.2%
2-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.26–4.67
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=340.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%29.1%–48.7% CI
Draw FT38.5%29.1%–48.7% CI
Away FT23.1%15.6%–32.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals19.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.9%
Away41.8%