Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 15:00
12.3041.7%
X3.6026.6%
23.0331.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LDWLLWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Tottenham
DWLWLLDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
2.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.90
Against
5.90
10.60
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.50
3.10
Total goals
4.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.80goals per match
Tottenham conceded2.50
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.90
10.60
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.20
Match total
21.90

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.60
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches342
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%40.4%-1.4 pp
Draw26.6%28.4%+1.7 pp
Away31.7%31.3%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS56.1%

Historical average

1.491.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.1%
1-08.5%
1-28.2%
2-28.2%
2-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.67
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=340.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%29.1%–48.7% CI
Draw FT38.5%29.1%–48.7% CI
Away FT23.1%15.6%–32.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.9%
Away41.8%