Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 12:30
14.6220.8%
X4.2022.9%
21.7156.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
LDDLWDWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Newcastle
WDDDLWWWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.70
2.20
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.90N=10
3.70
Against
5.10
9.00
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
2.20
Goals conceded
1.00
3.30
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.10goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.00
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.70goals per match
Leeds conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.10
9.00
Match total
12.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.10
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
24.40
Match total
21.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.50
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.8%20.8%+0.0 pp
Draw22.9%20.8%-2.1 pp
Away56.3%58.3%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.031.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.7%
0-210.8%
1-110.8%
0-110.0%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.785.90
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%9.2%–36.3% CI
Draw FT19.4%9.2%–36.3% CI
Away FT61.3%43.8%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals58.1%
3+ goals38.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.2%
Away80.6%