Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 12:30
14.6220.8%
X4.2022.9%
21.7156.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leeds
LDDLWDWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Newcastle
WDDDLWWWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.70
2.20
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
6.90N=10
3.70
Against
5.10
9.00
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
2.20
Goals conceded
1.00
3.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leeds attack
1.10goals per matchNewcastle conceded1.00Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.70goals per matchLeeds conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.10
9.00
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.10
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
24.40
Match total
21.60
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.50
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.8%20.8%+0.0 pp
Draw22.9%20.8%-2.1 pp
Away56.3%58.3%+2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS56.7%
Historical average
1.03–1.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.7%
0-210.8%
1-110.8%
0-110.0%
2-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.78–5.90
Average total9.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%9.2%–36.3% CI
Draw FT19.4%9.2%–36.3% CI
Away FT61.3%43.8%–76.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals58.1%
3+ goals38.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.2%
Away80.6%