Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 20:00
12.1345.0%
X3.5227.2%
23.4627.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
WDWWDDLDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Southampton
LLWLWLDLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

2.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.30
Against
6.70
7.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.30goals per match
Southampton conceded1.70
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.90goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.10N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.70
7.40
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.40
Match total
23.30

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.40
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches475
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.0%44.6%-0.4 pp
Draw27.2%27.8%+0.5 pp
Away27.7%27.6%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.491.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-010.9%
2-19.3%
0-18.0%
2-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.28
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=475.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.6%27.6%–42.3% CI
Draw FT34.6%27.6%–42.3% CI
Away FT30.8%24.2%–38.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.1%
Away53.5%