Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 17:30
11.3570.7%
X5.3018.0%
28.4711.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
LLWWLWWDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Everton
LDLLLDDLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.20
Against
5.30
10.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
3.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

2.20goals per match
Everton conceded2.00
Matchup

Everton attack

0.70goals per match
Brighton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.30
10.60
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.70
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.50
Match total
21.80

Shots

18.10N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
7.20
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches157
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.7%77.1%+6.4 pp
Draw18.0%15.3%-2.7 pp
Away11.3%7.6%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

2.430.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.0%
2-012.1%
3-010.8%
1-010.8%
1-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.993.54
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=157.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.536.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.2%46.1%–75.9% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI
Away FT5.4%1.5%–17.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals51.4%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.0%
Away29.7%