Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 19:00
13.4328.0%
X3.7425.7%
22.0846.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
West Ham
LLWDWDWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Man United
WWDLWLLWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.80
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
2.10
50%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.00
Against
6.80
11.10
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
West Ham attack
1.30goals per matchMan United conceded1.70Matchup
Man United attack
1.20goals per matchWest Ham conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.80
11.10
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
1.80
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
17.00
Match total
20.40
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
3.70
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%29.5%+1.4 pp
Draw25.7%20.5%-5.2 pp
Away46.2%50.0%+3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.1%
BTTS63.4%
Historical average
1.36–1.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-29.8%
1-39.8%
1-18.0%
0-07.1%
2-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.50–5.17
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Draw FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Away FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals53.6%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away57.1%