Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 16:30
12.4938.7%
X3.7325.8%
22.7135.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WWDWDLWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Arsenal
WWWLWWWDDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.10
0.60
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.20
Against
4.30
10.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

2.00goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.30
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.10goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.30
10.60
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.20
Match total
20.70

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.30
On target
4.50
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches96
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%42.7%+4.0 pp
Draw25.8%20.8%-5.0 pp
Away35.5%36.5%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS64.6%

Historical average

1.661.44

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.5%
1-111.5%
2-08.3%
1-08.3%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.155.25
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=96.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away44.4%