Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 17:30
11.4864.9%
X4.9119.6%
26.1615.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWDWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Brentford
WWDDLWDLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.20
Against
7.10
8.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
3.50
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.60goals per match
Brentford conceded0.90
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.20goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
7.10
8.50
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.50
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.10
Match total
20.80

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
5.40
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%62.1%-2.7 pp
Draw19.6%24.2%+4.7 pp
Away15.6%13.6%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.539.4%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.240.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-012.1%
2-19.1%
1-19.1%
0-09.1%
3-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.883.29
Average total9.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.5%
Over 9.547.0%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

0.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal45.5%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away27.3%