Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 15:00
12.9832.2%
X3.2629.5%
22.5138.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolves
LLWWLWLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Aston Villa
WWWLWDWWDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
0.80
20%
Over 2.5
30%
10%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.40
Against
7.00
11.30
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
0.80
2.00
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
10%1/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.20goals per match
Aston Villa conceded0.80
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.40goals per match
Wolves conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.00
11.30
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.70
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.20
Match total
24.00

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.80
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches303
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%32.7%+0.4 pp
Draw29.5%24.8%-4.7 pp
Away38.3%42.6%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.091.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
0-113.9%
1-010.6%
1-28.3%
0-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.705.05
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=303.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.0%24.6%–42.7% CI
Draw FT30.0%21.9%–39.6% CI
Away FT37.0%28.2%–46.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals42.0%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.0%
Away51.0%