Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 15:00
11.1782.5%
X8.4111.5%
215.946.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
LDWWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Leeds
DLLDLLWLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.00
Against
4.50
9.60
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.70
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.80goals per match
Leeds conceded1.90
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.00goals per match
Man City conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.50
9.60
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.40
Match total
22.90

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
6.20
On target
3.00
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.5%84.1%+1.6 pp
Draw11.5%6.8%-4.7 pp
Away6.1%9.1%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.5%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.563.6%
BTTS59.1%

Historical average

3.230.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-113.6%
2-013.6%
2-19.1%
5-06.8%
4-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.662.59
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.561.4%
Over 10.556.8%
Over 11.538.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.9%62.3%–98.4% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away27.3%