Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 15:00
13.4228.1%
X3.4727.7%
22.1744.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bournemouth
WLDDLWWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Chelsea
LLDLDDLWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.70
Against
5.00
9.60
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.30goals per matchChelsea conceded1.60Matchup
Chelsea attack
0.80goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.00
9.60
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.30
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
20.30
Match total
23.50
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.60
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches361
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%26.6%-1.5 pp
Draw27.7%25.2%-2.5 pp
Away44.3%48.2%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS56.0%
Historical average
1.09–1.55
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.2%
1-111.6%
0-110.0%
1-09.1%
0-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.60–4.96
Average total9.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=361.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.528.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.5%15.7%–31.1% CI
Draw FT39.6%31.0%–48.9% CI
Away FT37.8%29.4%–47.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals46.8%
3+ goals23.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.1%
Away61.3%