Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 15:00
13.4228.1%
X3.4727.7%
22.1744.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
WLDDLWWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Chelsea
LLDLDDLWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.70
Against
5.00
9.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.30goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.60
Matchup

Chelsea attack

0.80goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.00
9.60
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.30
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
20.30
Match total
23.50

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.60
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches361
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%26.6%-1.5 pp
Draw27.7%25.2%-2.5 pp
Away44.3%48.2%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.091.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.2%
1-111.6%
0-110.0%
1-09.1%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.604.96
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=361.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.5%15.7%–31.1% CI
Draw FT39.6%31.0%–48.9% CI
Away FT37.8%29.4%–47.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals46.8%
3+ goals23.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.1%
Away61.3%