Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-04 · 20:00
12.0347.4%
X3.8225.2%
23.5027.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
WLLWWLWWDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Man United
LWWDLWLLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.30
Against
6.30
10.70
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
3.60
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

2.50goals per match
Man United conceded1.90
Matchup

Man United attack

1.30goals per match
Brighton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.30
10.70
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
23.30
Match total
19.80

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
7.50
On target
5.20
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.4%48.6%+1.3 pp
Draw25.2%24.3%-0.8 pp
Away27.5%27.0%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.611.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.2%
1-114.9%
1-28.1%
2-18.1%
2-05.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.614.49
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%43.0%–80.3% CI
Draw FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Away FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away31.8%