Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 20:00
11.2079.8%
X7.2113.3%
213.796.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
WLDWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
West Ham
LLDLDLLWWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.70
Against
6.60
9.60
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.70
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
2.70goals per matchWest Ham conceded1.80Matchup
West Ham attack
1.20goals per matchMan City conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.60
9.60
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.50
Match total
22.50
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.00
On target
3.80
17%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.8%80.3%+0.5 pp
Draw13.3%14.1%+0.8 pp
Away6.9%5.6%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS49.3%
Historical average
2.73–0.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-014.1%
2-014.1%
2-19.9%
1-18.5%
1-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.58–2.86
Average total10.44
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.2%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.535.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Remaining goals
2.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals68.4%
3+ goals42.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.2%
Away42.1%