Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 20:00
11.2676.1%
X6.3915.0%
210.738.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
LWWDWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Fulham
LWWLDWLLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.20
Against
6.00
9.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
3.70
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.60goals per match
Fulham conceded1.00
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.20goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.00
9.20
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.60
Match total
4.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
21.50
Match total
23.80

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
6.10
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.1%77.4%+1.4 pp
Draw15.0%14.0%-1.0 pp
Away8.9%8.6%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.9%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

2.470.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-015.1%
2-014.0%
3-08.6%
3-18.6%
1-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.892.89
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%45.4%–82.8% CI
Draw FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.7%
Away28.6%