Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-02 · 20:00
11.5960.5%
X4.2222.8%
25.7516.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WDWDLWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Chelsea
DLLDLDDLWL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
2.60
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.20
Against
4.90
10.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
4.00
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.60goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.30
Matchup

Chelsea attack

0.70goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.90
10.20
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.40
Match total
22.90

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.30
On target
4.10
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches271
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.5%61.3%+0.8 pp
Draw22.8%21.4%-1.4 pp
Away16.7%17.3%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.980.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.1%
2-010.7%
1-110.7%
2-19.6%
3-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.433.72
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=271.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.7%32.7%–55.2% CI
Draw FT35.2%25.1%–46.8% CI
Away FT21.1%13.2%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals45.1%
3+ goals22.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.8%
Away49.3%