Premier League · 2022/23
2023-05-01 · 20:00
12.0447.0%
X3.4527.8%
23.7925.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
LLLDWLLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Everton
DLDLLLDDLD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.50
1.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.30
Against
6.40
9.60
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.00goals per match
Everton conceded1.80
Matchup

Everton attack

0.50goals per match
Leicester conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.40
9.60
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.90
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.80
Match total
21.40

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.50
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches609
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%46.8%-0.2 pp
Draw27.8%27.9%+0.1 pp
Away25.3%25.3%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.541.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
1-011.2%
2-110.8%
2-08.4%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.50
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=609.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.1%32.5%–46.0% CI
Draw FT36.0%29.7%–43.0% CI
Away FT24.9%19.4%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.3%
Away43.7%