Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 14:00
11.3272.7%
X5.4617.6%
29.909.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WWWDWDLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Southampton
LLLWLWLDLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.80
0.50
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.20
Against
6.40
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.80goals per match
Southampton conceded1.50
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.80goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.40
10.30
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
21.60
Match total
24.10

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.20
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.7%79.4%+6.7 pp
Draw17.6%14.0%-3.6 pp
Away9.7%6.5%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS35.5%

Historical average

2.320.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.8%
1-015.9%
4-011.2%
3-09.3%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.222.98
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT74.3%57.9%–85.8% CI
Draw FT22.9%12.1%–39.0% CI
Away FT2.9%0.5%–14.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.9%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away14.3%