Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 14:00
11.7853.7%
X3.9424.3%
24.3522.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WWWWWDWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Aston Villa
LWWWLWDWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.40
0.40
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.70
Against
7.20
12.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.40
0.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.90goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.40goals per match
Man United conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.70
Corners against
7.20
12.40
Match total
10.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.00
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
19.40
Match total
23.90

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.90
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches174
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.7%60.9%+7.2 pp
Draw24.3%21.3%-3.0 pp
Away22.0%17.8%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS58.6%

Historical average

1.991.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.8%
1-110.9%
2-010.3%
1-09.2%
2-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.863.99
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=174.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.1%43.3%–71.6% CI
Draw FT27.9%16.7%–42.7% CI
Away FT14.0%6.6%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.7%
2+ goals67.4%
3+ goals34.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home79.1%
Away53.5%