Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 14:00
111.958.0%
X6.2315.4%
21.2576.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
DLWWLWDLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Man City
WWWLLWDWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.10
Against
2.10
11.80
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.10
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.00goals per match
Man City conceded0.80
Matchup

Man City attack

1.90goals per match
Fulham conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
2.10
11.80
Match total
8.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.80
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.10
Match total
21.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
4.10
On target
5.20
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.0%8.8%+0.8 pp
Draw15.4%14.7%-0.7 pp
Away76.6%76.5%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS41.2%

Historical average

0.682.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.7%
0-211.8%
1-211.8%
0-58.8%
0-48.8%

Comparable corner averages

2.387.21
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.520.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away63.6%