Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 14:00
12.6136.8%
X3.5027.4%
22.6835.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
LWLDDLWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Leeds
LDLLDLLWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
7.00
Against
5.20
10.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.10goals per match
Leeds conceded1.90
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
7.00
Corners against
5.20
10.90
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
19.20
Match total
21.80

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.30
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches383
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%35.5%-1.3 pp
Draw27.4%27.2%-0.3 pp
Away35.8%37.3%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.321.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-28.9%
1-08.9%
2-18.6%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.364.73
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=383.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches106
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.8%27.4%–45.3% CI
Draw FT33.0%24.8%–42.4% CI
Away FT31.1%23.1%–40.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals50.9%
3+ goals22.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.3%
Away55.7%