Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 14:00
12.6136.8%
X3.5027.4%
22.6835.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bournemouth
LWLDDLWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Leeds
LDLLDLLWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
7.00
Against
5.20
10.90
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.10goals per matchLeeds conceded1.90Matchup
Leeds attack
1.20goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
7.00
Corners against
5.20
10.90
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
19.20
Match total
21.80
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.30
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches383
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%35.5%-1.3 pp
Draw27.4%27.2%-0.3 pp
Away35.8%37.3%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS57.4%
Historical average
1.32–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
1-28.9%
1-08.9%
2-18.6%
0-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.36–4.73
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=383.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches106
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.8%27.4%–45.3% CI
Draw FT33.0%24.8%–42.4% CI
Away FT31.1%23.1%–40.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.72
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals50.9%
3+ goals22.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.3%
Away55.7%