Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:00
11.6657.8%
X3.8824.7%
25.5017.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
DDWWWDWDLD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LLWDLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.90
Against
6.80
9.70
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
2.50
2.90
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.80goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded2.50
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

0.60goals per match
Brentford conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.80
9.70
Match total
12.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.70
Match total
21.00

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.70
On target
2.80
16%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches294
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.8%61.9%+4.1 pp
Draw24.7%20.1%-4.7 pp
Away17.4%18.0%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

1.760.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.0%
2-011.6%
2-110.5%
1-19.2%
3-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.243.80
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=294.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%39.5%–60.5% CI
Draw FT34.5%25.2%–45.2% CI
Away FT15.5%9.3%–24.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away34.5%