Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:00
11.6657.8%
X3.8824.7%
25.5017.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brentford
DDWWWDWDLD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LLWDLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.90
Against
6.80
9.70
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
2.50
2.90
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brentford attack
1.80goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded2.50Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
0.60goals per matchBrentford conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.80
9.70
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.70
Match total
21.00
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.70
On target
2.80
16%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches294
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.8%61.9%+4.1 pp
Draw24.7%20.1%-4.7 pp
Away17.4%18.0%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS47.6%
Historical average
1.76–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.0%
2-011.6%
2-110.5%
1-19.2%
3-06.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.24–3.80
Average total10.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=294.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.535.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%39.5%–60.5% CI
Draw FT34.5%25.2%–45.2% CI
Away FT15.5%9.3%–24.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals10.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away34.5%